Astros vs. Twins Prediction, Picks & Odds for Game 4: Wed, 10/11
Tonight, the Minnesota Twins will face elimination in Game 4 against the defending champion Astros. The Astros were victorious last night by a score of 9-1, as they look to keep it rolling and make another World Series push. The Twins struggled to get their bats going in the loss, so we’ll see how they respond with their backs against the wall at home. Minnesota has earned their right to be in this ALDS series, and they’d be disappointed to walk away with a loss tonight to end their season.
In this article, we’ll make our official Astros vs. Twins prediction, and we’ll also be sharing with you a great promotion from BetMGM Sportsbook that could total up to $1,500 in bonuses. Keep reading for our best bets in this elimination game.
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HOUSTON ASTROS VS. MINNESOTA TWINS PREDICTION: Over 8 (-115 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
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Astros vs. Twins Prediction for Game 4 on Wednesday, 10/11
The Houston Astros had it all going on last night, forcing the Twins down to their final game with a loss tonight. Houston was able to put up nine runs last night in their victory, thanks to Jose Abreau setting the tone with a monster three run blast in the fourth and adding on another 440+ foot bomb later on. Jordan Alvarez remained on fire for the ‘Stros yet again, with his fourth homer of the postseason. It may be a tough pill to swallow, but these Astros look ready to win another World Series.
On the other side of things, we have a Twins lineup that couldn’t heat up last night. Cristian Javier was able to shut down the Twins for five scoreless innings in the loss, but we don’t see this happening tonight. Carlos Correa has been phenomenal all season, and he had a huge impact in Game 2 of this series. If the Twins want to survive tonight, they’ll probably need Correa to show up in a big way again, which he’s certainly capable of doing. The Twins could also use a big night out of Max Kepler, who leads this team in home runs and RBIs.
Now, as always, we have to break down our pitching matchup before making our Astros vs. Twins prediction. The Astros plan to start Jose Urquidy, who hasn’t had his best stuff this year, as he holds an ERA of 5.29. Urquidy does have playoff experience that should be accounted for, but we believe the Twins will be able to get after him early tonight and show him that they won’t go down easily.
The Twins look to be starting Joe Ryan on the hill, who’s had a bit of an up and down year with his 4.51 ERA and 11-10 record. Ryan isn’t exactly an ace, but he has great stuff when he’s on, and either way, he’s going to need solid run support from the Twins offense in this one.
Our official prediction for tonight is that this game goes over eight total runs. The Astros are hitting the ball well, and their stars have clearly come to play. However, we think the Twins should be able to match them tonight and potentially win this game in a high scoring effort. We like the Twins here, but the best bet for tonight is over 8 runs (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook.
Astros vs. Twins Expert Picks & Best Bets for AL Divisional Playoff Series
As we stated above, we like the Twins tonight to keep their season alive in a gutsy win. However, our experts believe the smartest move here is to go with the game total over, which is set at eight runs at BetMGM. The Astros scored nine runs by themselves last night, and both pitchers have higher ERA’s then last night’s starters. Everything points at an entertaining, high-scoring affair tonight in Minnesota. Let’s confidently back the over 8 runs (-115 at BetMGM) with our Astros vs. Twins prediction for Game 4.
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Astros vs. Twins MLB Odds & Betting Lines Courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook for Game 4 of the ALDS on Wednesday, October 11th, 2023
Below, we’ve listed the main market odds at BetMGM Sportsbook on our Astros vs. Twins prediction for tonight.
- Money Line: Astros (+105) vs. Twins (-125)
- Run Line: Astros +1.5 (-190) vs. Twins -1.5 (+155)
- Game Total: Over 8 Runs (-115) & Under 8 Runs (105)
This means that a $125 wager on the Twins to win would make you $100 in profit. If you take the Twins to win by more than one run on the -1.5-run line, $100 would score you $155.
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